Sport PSYENCE Talk Roster Retention
For Programs · PED™

What does roster churn actually cost you?

Every athlete who leaves takes sunk investment with them and forces replacement spend to get back to baseline. Enter your numbers and see the financial impact of portal and transfer attrition on your program.

Roster Profile
Roster SizeScholarship + walk-on athletes
Total Annual DeparturesExpected + unexpected
Unexpected Departures (Portal / Transfers)Departures you did not plan for
Per-Athlete Annual Investment
Scholarship ValueTuition, room, board, fees
$
NIL Commitment (Avg Per Athlete)Third-party + collective, averaged
$
Revenue Sharing Per AthleteInstitutional direct payment (House)
$
Recruiting Cost Per AthleteTravel, visits, evaluation, portal acquisition
$
Development Investment Per AthleteS&C, nutrition, sports medicine, academics
$
Coaching Time Investment Per AthleteProrated coaching salary to development
$
Compliance & Admin Cost Per DepartureTransfer paperwork, CSC review, NIL processing
$
Cost Per Athlete Departure
$0
Based on your program's numbers, not industry averages
Sunk Investment: $0 Replacement Cost: $0
Annual Unexpected Attrition
$0
Total Annual Attrition Cost
$0
5-Year Cumulative (Unexpected)
$0
Re-Transfer Risk Cost (31%)
$0
NIL Waste from Churn
$0
Revenue Share Waste from Churn
$0
What if you could retain more athletes?
Keep 3 more athletes (20% reduction)$0
Keep 6 more athletes (40% reduction)$0
Keep 9 more athletes (60% reduction)$0

Your numbers say roster churn is costing your program real money. The question is not whether you can afford to address it. The question is: do you know which athletes are most likely to leave, and why?

The PSYENCE Embeddedness Diagnostic (PED™) measures the four forces that predict whether an athlete stays or enters the portal: Connections, Alignment, Investment, and Promise Integrity. 30 questions. Two weeks. Answers in your hands.

Request a Diagnostic Overview See how the PED works
Methodology and data sources ▾

Framework: Cascio & Boudreau utility analysis methodology adapted for collegiate athletics. Sunk investment captures the total value already committed to the departing athlete. Replacement cost captures the incremental expense to acquire, onboard, and develop a replacement.

Revenue Sharing: House v. NCAA settlement, approved June 6, 2025. Annual cap of $20.5M per school for 2025-26, increasing to ~$32M over 10 years. Power 4 schools expected to max out. Football receives ~65.6% of allocation per Opendorse data.

NIL Data: Opendorse "NIL at Four" annual report, 2025. Total college football NIL spending estimated at $1.9B for 2025-26 including revenue sharing. Two-thirds of P4 football players earn less than $10K in third-party NIL.

Transfer Portal Data: 10,500+ football players entered the portal in the Jan 2026 15-day window. 31% of FBS scholarship portal entrants had previously transferred.

Re-Transfer Rate: 31% of FBS scholarship players in the 2024-25 portal cycle had previously transferred. (ESPN)

70% Finding: AD Advisors and Timark Partners study of 14,000+ D-I men's basketball portal entries since 2019 found 70% of Tier 1 (Power 4 + Big East) transfers moved down or did not find a new school. 65% across all D-I.

Embeddedness Research: doctoral research (Dannehl, 2020). Jiang et al. meta-analysis, 65 samples, N=42,907. 2024 meta-analyses confirming sacrifice as strongest predictor of retention (r=-.460).